Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.059635 0.069741 0.081003 0.094480 0.110167 0.127852 0.149303
2025-09-21 0.042474 0.055194 0.070885 0.091649 0.118403 0.151715 0.196365
2025-09-28 0.032481 0.045756 0.063452 0.088741 0.123940 0.171204 0.239541
2025-10-05 0.027448 0.041313 0.061010 0.090983 0.135420 0.198878 0.296467
2025-10-12 0.023409 0.037314 0.058186 0.091721 0.144225 0.223287 0.351506
2025-10-19 0.020230 0.033946 0.055570 0.092042 0.151986 0.246618 0.407515
2025-10-26 0.017925 0.031518 0.053930 0.093438 0.161302 0.273129 0.471592
2025-11-02 0.016284 0.029898 0.053290 0.096240 0.173080 0.304791 0.547943
2025-11-09 0.013972 0.026726 0.049513 0.092997 0.173840 0.317666 0.593244
2025-11-16 0.012448 0.024743 0.047531 0.092618 0.179514 0.339585 0.657146
2025-11-23 0.011084 0.022852 0.045438 0.091686 0.183917 0.359521 0.719576
2025-11-30 0.010217 0.021808 0.044800 0.093432 0.193602 0.390361 0.806544
2025-12-07 0.009131 0.020182 0.042845 0.092376 0.197767 0.411376 0.877552
2025-12-14 0.008060 0.018435 0.040414 0.090014 0.198953 0.426613 0.938847
2025-12-21 0.007098 0.016782 0.037953 0.087229 0.198831 0.439049 0.995688
2025-12-28 0.006648 0.016218 0.037777 0.089448 0.209920 0.476580 1.111937
2026-01-04 0.006136 0.015435 0.036999 0.090177 0.217712 0.507769 1.217806
2026-01-11 0.005652 0.014647 0.036100 0.090493 0.224561 0.537600 1.324224
2026-01-18 0.005282 0.014086 0.035667 0.091865 0.234093 0.574717 1.452545
2026-01-25 0.005022 0.013771 0.035787 0.094621 0.247365 0.622235 1.612126
2026-02-01 0.004479 0.012628 0.033685 0.091432 0.245235 0.632066 1.678736
2026-02-08 0.004129 0.011959 0.032712 0.091060 0.250331 0.660456 1.796435
2026-02-15 0.003789 0.011269 0.031591 0.090142 0.253860 0.685253 1.907806